Dr. Jessala Grijalva

Democratic Exclusion · Latino Political Behavior · Computational Methods

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Dr. Jessala A. Grijalva is a political scientist who studies democratic exclusion, both its institutional foundations and the lived experience of groups navigating it. Her research reframes American political development through the concept of herrenvolk democracy and examines how Latinos form political identities within an exclusionary system. 
Research 

Dr. Grijalva developed the Power-Sharing Index, which reveals extended periods of near-zero cross-group power-sharing that standard democracy indices missed entirely. Her book project, The Herrenvolk State (under consideration at Cambridge University Press and Princeton University Press), argues that this pattern is constitutive of the American regime rather than a deviation from it. Contemporary contestations over immigration, citizenship, and the boundaries of political community reflect these same dynamics, as a herrenvolk system confronts the prospect of genuine multiracial democracy.

Her behavioral research provides the micro-foundations for this argument. Using comparative cluster analysis and data from the Latino National Survey, she found that binary acculturation models fail to capture the orientations of over 75% of Latino respondents. These hybrid cultural orientations produce systematically different political outcomes, with the largest effects on immigration policy. She is extending this work using random forest classification with SHAP interpretation to analyze what predicts Latino vote choice across the 2016, 2020, and 2024 elections.
Keeping the Republic Conference: Luis Fraga, Jessala Grijalva, Ricardo Ramirez
Background

Born and raised in South Tucson, Arizona, Dr. Grijalva began her academic journey at Pima Community College. She transferred to the University of Arizona, graduating magna cum laude, before earning her Ph.D. in Political Science from the University of Notre Dame in 2024. 
Current Work & Recognition

Dr. Grijalva is a Postdoctoral Fellow at the Institute for Latino Studies at the University of Notre Dame. She serves as Co-Principal Investigator of a $100,000 Democracy Initiative grant, leading interdisciplinary research on multiracial democracy. Her work has been supported by the National Science Foundation Graduate Research Fellowship. She has developed courses on Latino leadership at Notre Dame and mentors students through ICPSR's diversity initiative. Her recent co-authored work with Luis Fraga analyzing Latino support for Trump in 2024 appeared in APSA's Political Science Now post-election series. 
Multiracial Democracy Working Group

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Dr. Jessala A. Grijalva



University of Notre Dame's Institute for Latino Studies 🍀



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